Hurricane Beryl Eyes Texas - Landfall Just South Of Houston Possible

Friday, July 5 2024 by Richard D. Hunt with contribution from Associated Press, NOAA, National Hurricane Center

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Corpus Christi, Port Lavaca, Texas potential Beryl Landfall areas
NOAA/National Hurricane Center
Corpus Christi, Port Lavaca, Texas potential Beryl Landfall areas

Beryl moved over Mexico’s Yucatan Peninsula on Friday after battering the resort town of Tulum and started to emerge into the Gulf of Mexico, prompting Texas officials to urge coastal residents to prepare as the storm headed their way.

Beryl hit Tulum as a Category 2 hurricane and toppled trees but caused no injuries or deaths before weakening to a tropical storm as it moved across the peninsula. The U.S. National Hurricane Center expects the storm to regain hurricane strength in the warm waters of the Gulf and hit south Texas by late Sunday or early Monday.

Beryl, the earliest storm to develop into a Category 5 hurricane in the Atlantic, caused at least 11 deaths as it passed through the Caribbean islands earlier in the week.

"...the new forecast calls for gradual strengthening to start around 24 h, and the first part of this forecast could be a bit generous.  However, the upper-level winds become more favorable as the cyclone approaches the western Gulf coast after 36 h, with decreasing shear and increasing upper-level divergence.  This combination should allow a faster rate of strengthening.

Once in the Gulf, Beryl could regain wind speed of 90 mph (150 kph) before hitting Texas, though it is hard to tell now where it could make landfall, forecasters said. Hurricane watches were in effect from the Rio Grande along the coast to Sargent, just south of Houston, Texas.  - AP

Key Messages:

1. There is an increasing risk of damaging hurricane-force winds and life-threatening storm surge in portions of northeastern Mexico and the lower and middle Texas Coast late Sunday and Monday where Hurricane and Storm Surge Watches have been issued. Additional watches may be required tonight or early Saturday. Interests in these areas should follow any advice given by local officials. 

2.  Flash and urban flooding are possible across portions of the Texas Gulf Coast and eastern Texas from Sunday through the middle of next week. 

3. Rip currents will cause life-threatening beach conditions through the weekend across much of the Gulf Coast. Beachgoers should heed warning flags and the advice of lifeguards and local officials before venturing into the water. 

4. Strong winds, storm surge, and heavy rainfall will continue over northern portions of the Yucatan Peninsula 

SURF:  Large swells generated by Beryl are currently impacting portions of the coast of Cuba, the Cayman Islands, and the Yucatan Peninsula. The swells are expected to reach eastern Mexico and much of the Gulf Coast of the U.S. by late today. These swells are expected to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

  - National Hurricane Center 

Soldiers ask a tourist to evacuate Mirador beach ahead of Hurricane Beryl
[Photo Credit: AP Photo/Fernando Llano] Soldiers ask a tourist to evacuate Mirador beach ahead of Hurricane Beryl's expected arrival in Tulum, Mexico
Homes destroyed by Hurricane Beryl lie in Clifton, Union Island, St. Vincent and the Grenadines
[Photo Credit: AP Photo/Lucanus Ollivierre] Homes destroyed by Hurricane Beryl lie in Clifton, Union Island, St. Vincent and the Grenadines
People whose homes were destroyed by Hurricane Beryl wait to be evacuated from Clifton, Union Island, St. Vincent and the Grenadines
[Photo Credit: AP Photo/Lucanus Ollivierre] People whose homes were destroyed by Hurricane Beryl wait to be evacuated from Clifton, Union Island, St. Vincent and the Grenadines
Advisory en espanol
[Photo Credit: NWS/NOAA/NWS Houston] Advisory en espanol

 

 

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